All rights reserved. What if youre looking for a more balanced portfolio instead? The content is distributed by a single organisation across three significant lines of business: Linear Networks, Direct-to-Consumer and Content Sales/Licensing. They just revealed what they believe are the ten best stocks for investors to buy right now and Walt Disney wasn't one of them! Disney stock predictions: Can Iger bring back Disneys magic? On 10 November, Disney reinstalled Robert A. Iger as chief executive officer as Chapek stepped down. "Encanto" won the award for animated feature film. Consequently, it's best not to invest in Disney solely for the potential of a dividend, as there's no confirmed date of its return, and it will be marginal when it is back. The DIS stock price can go up from 99.500 USD to 124.869 USD in one year. NFLX You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. DIS . A closer look at its segments reveals that revenue from Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution fell 3% year-over-year (YoY) to $12.72bn in the fourth quarter of2022 owing to widening losses for Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) and Content Sales/Licensing. Last year's stock market sell-off led shares of The Walt Disney Company (DIS -1.07%) to plunge 44% over 12 months. movie and theme park attendance and ratings for Disney-owned ABC and ESPN is up for debate. It earned adjusted earnings of $1.09 a share on revenue of $21.5 billion vs. S&P Global Market Intelligence forecasts for $0.99 on $21.0 billion. The investment case for Disney hinges on the growth of Disney+, so it's understandable for the stock to trade in line with the rate of subscriber growth, but the market overreacted to Disney's results last quarter. However from that point Disney, like many Dow 30 members, was part of a huge run up over the next 3 years. Key price drivers. But it needs to find a balance between streaming and in-person revenue. Despite theaters reopening in 2022, the market had not returned to pre-pandemic form by the end of the year. Disney suspended its dividend at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, with its last payment date in January 2020. The major market events for the week ahead right in your inbox. The Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU) has grossed more than twice the amount of the next-highest franchise, Star Wars -- also owned by Disney. Marvel Studios and Lucasfilm have continuously produced some of the worlds highest-grossing movies through franchises such as the Marvel Cinematic Universe and Star Wars series. Any opinion that may be provided on this page does not constitute a recommendation by Capital Com or its agents. DIS is relatively overvalued on two common measures compared to its competitors. This measure against the company poses a political risk, as it may waste management's time and resources. The number includes 12 million Disney+ subscribers and nine million Core Disney+ subscribers. To ensure this doesnt happen in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser. The Motley Fool recommends Comcast and recommends the following options: long January 2024 $145 calls on Walt Disney and short January 2024 $155 calls on Walt Disney. *Average returns of all recommendations since inception. balance sheet and inputs from the stock market. Although shares are down almost 16% from a year ago and 13% since the beginning of 2022, they've rallied over the past month and, as of the market close on Feb. 15, had regained their January loss. "We are intent on reducing our debt," Iger said on 2/9/2023 during an interview on CNBC. See our analysis of Disney valuation for more information on whats driving our price estimate for Disney and how its valuation compares with peers. There's just so much to unpack when it comes to the world's largest (and perhaps most complex) entertainment company. This level of yield is unlikely to attract a significant number of new income investors, and therefore may not increase the shareholder base and value significantly. Disney is ending calendar 2021 with a bang, but there is much more on the way that could be explosive for subscriber growth. UPDATE: Disney stock values have continued to drop. Copy and paste multiple symbols separated by spaces. Founded in 1993 by brothers Tom and David Gardner, The Motley Fool helps millions of people attain financial freedom through our website, podcasts, books, newspaper column, radio show, and premium investing services. Walt Disney Co. reported Q1 profit that fell substantially short of analysts' expectations which sent the stock price to a 10% decline in after-hours trading. DTCs operating results were expected to improve by at least $200m in the first quarter of fiscal2023 versus the fourth quarter of2022, partly supported by increases in subscription prices, she added. However, whether Disney stock is a good buy will depend on your investing goals and portfolio composition. It actually lost subscribers in the fourth quarter, and losses were still staggering. BREAKING: Salesforce Soars Late, Tesla Doesn't Unveil New EV. This top entertainment stock should bounce back in 2022. Igers four decades experience working in Disney, including 15 years as CEO, wereexpected to set the strategic direction for renewed growth, the company said in the statement. 3 Dates for Disney Stock Investors to Circle in March, Disney Can't Make a Multiplex Mountain Out of an Ant Hill, This Could Be a Reason Disney Stock Soars This Year, 2 FAANG Stocks Billionaires Are Selling in Droves and 1 They Can't Stop Buying, 2 Growth Stocks That Can Turn $250,000 Into $1 Million by 2030, This State Has the Highest Real Estate Taxes (and It's Not Even Close), Join Over Half a Million Premium Members And Get More In-Depth Stock Guidance and Research, Motley Fool Issues Rare All In Buy Alert, Copyright, Trademark and Patent Information. The services algorithm-driven forecasting system said the stock is an acceptable long-term investment. According to data compiled by MarketBeat as of 1December2022, the consensus average analyst price target for the coming 12-month periodwas $132.07. However, Disney's stock rallied to a high of $118.18 on 2/9/2022 and closed the day at $110.36. As of May 10th, 2022, the stock was trading at around $108.49. The management's decision to use cash flow to pay dividends instead of paying debts will signal that its capitalization is near optimum. Remember that your decision to trade or invest should be based on your risk tolerance, market expertise, portfolio sizeand investmentgoals. Disney has grown its revenue and operating income steadily since 2020 despite various headwinds. It should be noted that conditions have already begun to change. Disney Plus is also moving into new markets this coming year and the slowdown experienced toward the end of 2021 should abate. Key Points. $7.42bn, jumping 36% from the year-ago period of $5.45bn. ) Localized content can drive worldwide subscriber growth. On average, Wall Street analysts predict that Disney 's share price could reach $130.86 by Feb 13, 2024. In the fourth quarter of 2022, Parks & Experiences booked revenue of. John Ballard owns Netflix and Walt Disney. Disney reported Q3 revenue of $17 billion, up 45% year over year, and earnings per share of $0.80, beating estimates of $0.55. 3, Wish II) and two are based on previous hits (Peter Pan & Wendy, The Little Mermaid). The company reports fiscal fourth-quarter results in November. call +44 20 3097 8888 support@capital.com. It has also masterfully designed all of the content to work together, so viewers would need to follow the stories on streaming to understand all of the developments accounted for in the films released in theaters. The latter has expanded very successfully across international markets based on its focus on producing local language content. On a new IBD podcast, Jon Najarian explains 0DTE options and their unintended impact. The site suggested the stock could reach $118.328 in three years, according to its Disney stock forecast for 2025. Moreover, Chapek's background at Disney suggests investors should look forward to margin increases across the business over time. But its parks and experiences segment is struggling, and the balance sheet has a lot of debt. That's nearly 21% potential upside. Since my return, I have drilled down into every facet of the streaming business to determine how to achieve both profitability and growth.. Disney announced a restructuring plan, which could potentially result in cost savings of $5.5 billion, and the company also announced the termination of 7,000 jobs. Build a CFD portfolio with your favourite companies. On 12/29/2022, I gave a sell rating to Disney DIS at $87.18 based on this investment theme. Can Disney fight its way out of the slump? The following year, Walt passed away, leaving Roy in charge. And he has the headache with Florida to deal with. Founded in 1993 by brothers Tom and David Gardner, The Motley Fool helps millions of people attain financial freedom through our website, podcasts, books, newspaper column, radio show, and premium investing services. Reaching millions of people each month through its website, books, newspaper column, radio show, television appearances, and subscription newsletter services, The Motley Fool champions shareholder values and advocates tirelessly for the individual investor. There are several potential catalysts that could lead to higher share prices, including the announcement of a new CEO in the next 18-24 months (If the new CEO has the same credibility Iger has), potential growth in streaming by gaining market share, a rationalized pricing policy, cost cuts, the success of a new blockbuster show due to increased creativity, lower debt levels, keeping ESPN and buying the rest of Hulu, and, most importantly, having activist managers advising and standing behind Iger. But it's still betting new management can reinvigorate growth after Covid. Morningstars senior equity analyst Neil Macker stated that while Iger may not be as focused on the parks segment as Chapek, Iger has stronger and longer ties with Hollywood as well as investors. The score provides a forward-looking, one-year measure of credit Disneys earnings are likely to rebound strongly this year, driven primarily by the recovery in its lucrative theme park business. The companyrode the pandemic-induced streaming boom into the first quarter of 2021. Bear in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results, and never invest or trade money that you cannot afford. ). Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services. We expect that Disney+ will continue to leverage this content to create a large, valuable subscriber base, Macker said. As we've mentioned before, subscriber growth will not be linear each and every quarter, and the trend is driven by several factors, including content releases and promotions, McCarthyadded. DTCs full year 2021/2022 revenue was up 8% to $55.04bn, from $50.86bn during the same period a year earlier. The 26 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Walt Disney Co have a median target of 130.00, with a high estimate of 141.00 and a low estimate of 94.00. In November, Disney released Peter Jackson's Beatles documentary and Marvel's Hawkeye. Streaming will benefit from the new content being created at Disney and Fox television and film studios as well as the deep libraries at the studios. Google In a move worthy of an Oscar, Iger directed the acquisition of Marvel Studios in 2009 for $4 billion. Disney is not a buy right now. And no, 2022 wasn't an exceptional year. Disney may also be engaging with other investors, whether activists or others, and the management appears to have received the message that a strategy for turnaround and sustainability was necessary. Disney stock price broke $50 in 2013, the stock price hit $75 a year later and then finally smashed the $100 ceiling in 2015. These are planned for release over the next few years. Here are some of the many problems Disney has endured in 2022 and 2023. Read on to find out. Disney stock has seen a major sell-off this year, declining by almost 37% year-to-date, considerably underperforming the S&P 500 which remains down by 19% over the same period. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. on Q1:2023 conference call on 2/8/2023. In addition, Disney announced solid earnings, with an increase in revenue and beating EPS estimates for the fiscal Q1:2023. Throughout its near century-long history, Disney has grown into a multi-billion-dollar business, famous for its flagship family-oriented brands. As of 1 December2022, analysts tracked by MarketBeat gave Disney stock a moderate buy rating. During the earnings conference call, Iger implied that he would not sell Hulu. Moodys Daily Credit Risk Score is a 1-10 score of a companys credit risk, based on an analysis of the firms Both Nasdaq (32.7% down from its peak) and Dow Jones (17% below its peak) are also presenting slumps. Morningstar assigned Disney a wide economic moat rating and $170 fair value estimate in its Disney stock forecast. There were two more 2 for 1 stock splits shortly after in 1977 and 1973. Let's assess. All these stock splits work out as 1 share purchased at IPO being the worth 384 shares today. Revenue in the 2021/2022 fiscal year increased to $82.72bn, from $67.41bn in the same period in the previous fiscal year. The services algorithm-driven forecasting system said the stock is an acceptable long-term investment. The landscape looks a lot different these days, but some things never change, such as James Cameron's stunning ability to create incredible sales-generating films, and Disney's ability to find people like him and churn out new hits from reliable franchises. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. The latest Disney stock news that moved the Disney stock price today came from its diluted first-quarter earnings report for 2022. Yield investors in Disney now have more choices for income than just Disney stock. In June, then-CEO Bob Chapek explained that "We have seen each new Disney+ original Marvel series attract incremental viewership and new subscribers that hadn't previously engaged with Marvel content on the service." Capital Com is an execution-only service provider. |. Turning Red Preview Beyond Disney+, continued financial success in the Disney Parks could also be a big boost to stock. 2022 highest-grossing films by parent company. Dani Cook has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. If you are already a current owner of Disney shares, it may be advisable to hold onto the stock and give Iger's transformative restructuring a chance. The Companys registered office is at Bahamas Financial Centre, 3rd Floor, Shirley and Charlotte Street, P.O. Jennifer Saibil has positions in Walt Disney. Some of the major properties licensed by the company include: Mickey and Minnie Mouse, Star Wars, Frozen, Disney Princess, Avengers, Spider-Man, Toy Story, Disney Classics, Winnie the Pooh and Cars. During the Q4 earnings call in November, Disney CFO Christine McCarthy reminded investors that they don't expect "[subscriber] growth will necessarily be linear from quarter-to-quarter." *The average price target includes all analyst analysis, not just the most recent analysis presented in the chart. Historically, Disney's dividend yield ranged from 0.6% to 1.6% between 2011 to 2019. It only grossed roughly $156 million through late June, below its $200 million budget. Learn More. The company was founded by Walter Elias Disney on October 16, 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, CA. According to the Associated Press, "The S&P 500, Wall Street's main barometer of health, slid 3.9% [in mid-June] to 3,749. Key Points. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close. The stock price is currently down 14.5% year to date, trailing the 27% return of the S&P 500 index. Since the corporate strategy is to continue focusing on streaming for sustainable profitability, Hulu is a valuable asset that supports this strategy. The question above was, whether the transformation work can be completed before conditions change again. The relative strength line, which compares a stock's performance to the S&P 500, keeps heading sharply lower and hasn't found a solid bottom. Please. The acquisition included Foxs renowned film production business Twentieth Century Fox, as well as Foxs interests in streaming service Hulu, which helped the company to compete with rival streaming titan Netflix. The history of the company started when brothers Walt and Roy founded the Disney Brothers Cartoon Studio on 16 October 1923, following Walts success in selling his first pilot cartoon film series,Alice Comedies. Have continued to drop perhaps most complex ) entertainment company expertise, portfolio guidance, never. 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